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Lawler: The Second Half “Bear Steepener”: Higher for Longer, a Higher R*, and A Rising Term Premium
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Lawler: The Second Half “Bear Steepener”: Higher for Longer, a Higher R*, and A Rising Term Premium

CalculatedRisk by Bill McBride's avatar
CalculatedRisk by Bill McBride
Oct 04, 2023
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CalculatedRisk Newsletter
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Lawler: The Second Half “Bear Steepener”: Higher for Longer, a Higher R*, and A Rising Term Premium
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NOTE: This is technical and related to these earlier notes (and mortgage rates):

August 18th: Lawler: Is The “Natural” Rate of Interest Back to Pre-Financial Crisis Levels?

August 15th: The "New Normal" Mortgage Rate Range

From housing economist Tom Lawler:

Below is a chart showing the Treasury yield curve from 1 to 30 years yesterday compared to the end o…

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