NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.14 million SAAR in April
Median House Prices Increased 5.7% Year-over-Year
From the NAR: Existing-Home Sales Retreated 1.9% in April
Existing-home sales receded in April, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. All four major U.S. regions posted month-over-month declines. Year-over-year, sales decreased in the Northeast, Midwest and South but increased in the West.
Total existing-home sales – completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – slid 1.9% from March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.14 million in April. Year-over-year, sales fell 1.9% (down from 4.22 million in April 2023).
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Total housing inventory registered at the end of April was 1.21 million units, up 9% from March and 16.3% from one year ago (1.04 million). Unsold inventory sits at a 3.5-month supply at the current sales pace, up from 3.2 months in March and 3.0 months in April 2023.
emphasis added
The sales rate was below the consensus forecast.
Sales in April (4.14 million SAAR) were down 1.9% from the previous month and were 1.9% below the April 2023 sales rate.
Housing Inventory Increased in April
The second graph shows nationwide inventory for existing homes.
According to the NAR, inventory increased to 1.21 million in April from 1.11 million the previous month.
Headline inventory is not seasonally adjusted, and inventory usually decreases to the seasonal lows in December and January, and peaks in mid-to-late summer. The third graph shows the year-over-year (YoY) change in reported existing home inventory and months-of-supply. Since inventory is not seasonally adjusted, it really helps to look at the YoY change. Note: Months-of-supply is based on the seasonally adjusted sales and not seasonally adjusted inventory.
Inventory was up 16.3% year-over-year (blue) in April compared to April 2023. Months of supply (red) increased to 3.5 months in April from 3.2 months the previous month.
Looking back to pre-pandemic levels, in April 2019 months-of-supply was at 4.2 months, so there is less supply now, on a months-of-supply basis, than prior to the pandemic. Even though sales have declined significantly compared to 2019, inventory has fallen even more - pushing down months-of-supply.
Sales Year-over-Year and Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA)
The fourth graph shows existing home sales by month for 2023 and 2024.
Sales declined 1.9% year-over-year compared to March 2023. This was the thirty-second consecutive month with sales down year-over-year.
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