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Final Look at Local Housing Markets in October and a Look Ahead to November Sales

Final Look at Local Housing Markets in October and a Look Ahead to November Sales

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CalculatedRisk by Bill McBride
Nov 25, 2024
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CalculatedRisk Newsletter
CalculatedRisk Newsletter
Final Look at Local Housing Markets in October and a Look Ahead to November Sales
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After the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) releases the monthly existing home sales report, I pick up additional local market data that is reported after the NAR. This is the final look at local markets in October.

The big story for October was that existing home sales increased year-over-year (YoY) for the first time since July 2021. However, sales in October, at 3.96 million on a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis (SAAR) were still historically low. This YoY increase was a combination of weak sales in October 2023 and lower mortgage rates in August and September when contracts were signed (Existing home sales are reported at closing). The mortgage rates in August, September and October were the lowest mortgage rates in 2 years!

Also, regionally, inventory continues to increase sharply in Florida and Texas.

NOTE: The tables for active listings, new listings and closed sales all include a comparison to October 2019 for each local market (some 2019 data is not available).

Months of Supply

Here is a look at months-of-supply using NSA sales. Note the regional differences, especially in Florida and Texas (although October statistics in Florida were impacted by Hurricane Milton). This pickup in inventory is impacting prices in Florida.

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