Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-May 2025

Last Friday, in Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-May 2025 I reviewed home inventory, housing starts and sales. I noted that the key story right now for existing homes is that inventory is increasing sharply, and sales are essentially flat compared to last year. That means prices will be under pressure (although there will not be a huge wave of distressed sales). And there are significant regional differences too.

In Part 2, I will look at house prices, mortgage rates, rents and more.

These “Current State” summaries show us where we came from, where we are, and hopefully give us clues as to where we are going!

House Prices

The Case-Shiller National Index increased 3.9% year-over-year (YoY) in February and will likely be lower year-over-year in the March report compared to February (based on other data).

The MoM increase in the seasonally adjusted (SA) Case-Shiller National Index was at 0.26% (a 3.1% annual rate), This was the 25th consecutive MoM increase in the seasonally adjusted index.

Two months ago, I wrote Policy and 2025 Housing Outlook I updated my outlook for 2025, and for house prices I noted …

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